Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.025709 0.027759 0.029819 0.032043 0.034370 0.036732 0.039306
2025-11-16 0.021682 0.024882 0.028219 0.031947 0.035978 0.040194 0.044921
2025-11-23 0.019026 0.022879 0.027012 0.031745 0.036983 0.042575 0.048965
2025-11-30 0.017082 0.021392 0.026127 0.031662 0.037905 0.044678 0.052535
2025-12-07 0.015224 0.019819 0.024984 0.031139 0.038198 0.045970 0.055101
2025-12-14 0.013585 0.018366 0.023857 0.030519 0.038280 0.046938 0.057228
2025-12-21 0.012117 0.017006 0.022742 0.029824 0.038194 0.047647 0.059001
2025-12-28 0.011543 0.016685 0.022818 0.030491 0.039660 0.050107 0.062755
2026-01-04 0.010744 0.016029 0.022442 0.030577 0.040409 0.051716 0.065511
2026-01-11 0.009941 0.015315 0.021952 0.030486 0.040915 0.053016 0.067891
2026-01-18 0.009552 0.015108 0.022071 0.031122 0.042281 0.055319 0.071439
2026-01-25 0.008865 0.014469 0.021610 0.031011 0.042717 0.056504 0.073662
2026-02-01 0.008152 0.013792 0.021116 0.030896 0.043208 0.057834 0.076166
2026-02-08 0.007489 0.013153 0.020656 0.030817 0.043751 0.059246 0.078802
2026-02-15 0.006842 0.012492 0.020129 0.030620 0.044121 0.060431 0.081154
2026-02-22 0.006293 0.011936 0.019712 0.030539 0.044616 0.061754 0.083664
2026-03-01 0.005645 0.011186 0.018992 0.030028 0.044537 0.062350 0.085277
2026-03-08 0.005025 0.010432 0.018228 0.029423 0.044309 0.062740 0.086620
2026-03-15 0.004437 0.009684 0.017434 0.028744 0.043956 0.062952 0.087726
2026-03-22 0.004280 0.009619 0.017617 0.029395 0.045340 0.065344 0.091531
2026-03-29 0.003978 0.009291 0.017399 0.029479 0.045969 0.066780 0.094149
2026-04-05 0.003653 0.008901 0.017068 0.029390 0.046357 0.067904 0.096376
2026-04-12 0.003529 0.008850 0.017244 0.030012 0.047694 0.070241 0.100127